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The team responsible for the Daybreak Poll four years ago developed the successful RAND Continuous Presidential Election Poll, which was based on the same methodology. The Daybreak Poll is based on an internet probability panel survey. Daybreak Poll members are participants in the ongoing UAS internet probability panel of about 6,0. U. S. Members of recruited households that did not have internet access were provided with tablets and internet service. We project it will reach about 6. Each day, 1/7th of those who have agreed to participate (more than 4. What is the percent chance that.. The order of the candidates in the questions is randomized so that about half of the respondents see Clinton as the first choice and half of the respondents see Trump as the first choice. Each night, Daybreak Poll results are weighted to match demographic characteristics (such as race and gender) from the U. S. Census Current Population Survey, and aligned to the 2. 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The graph shows the estimated fraction of the votes that a candidate will get, which is computed by dividing the estimated fraction of the population that will vote for the candidate by the estimated fraction of the population that will vote for any candidate. The latter is analogously obtained as the weighted mean of the respondents' likelihood of voting in the presidential election. To find out more about what lies behind the vote, each week we also ask respondents one or two extra questions about their preferences and values. Links to documents detailing question text, sample sizes, response rates and other information for these separate surveys are provided in the detailed information section below, linked to stories or press releases where the results were disseminated. The Daybreak Poll began on July 4, 2. November election. 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The special session ended last night after the House was forced to adopt the inadequately funded Senate version of HB2. House- approved school finance bill that was cut to $3. Senate. The inability to pass a meaningful school finance bill was the most glaring failure of the special session. The Senate did include an additional $2. TRS Care in HB2. 1, funding that was approved in separate legislation by both the House and Senate. These funds will be used to reduce the impact of rising health care costs in the health insurance program for retired teachers. The House passed the bill before adjourning “sine die” and ending the special session. Some legislators who were involved in the House- Senate negotiations discreetly indicated that the Senate was not interested in finding common ground on school finance or property tax reform, the final issues being negotiated. The House did send the Senate a property tax reform bill that would have automatically triggered a rollback election if a local government entity increased property taxes by 6% or more, but Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick insisted on a 4% trigger and described the bill as “cutting” property taxes, a blatant misrepresentation. Instead of working to resolve these issues, it appears that Patrick wanted to use the special session for political reasons and not what’s best for Texas. Meanwhile, students, educators and local taxpayers were left without adequate state funding again, despite the best efforts of House members from both political parties to enact a meaningful school finance bill. The Governor has not decided whether he will call another special session to address property tax reform (again, these bills do not cut property taxes) or when such a session would be called. What you can do now: Vote Education. When we vote, we must consider the candidate’s record on education. Elections have consequences, and it’s time for educators to Vote Education. TRS Care funding approved. The legislature appropriated $2. TRS Care in HB2. 1, funding that was approved in separate legislation by both the House and Senate. These funds will be used to reduce the impact of rising health care costs in the health insurance program for retired teachers. SB7, payroll dues deduction ban, defeated in the House. Senate Bill 7 passed the Senate early in the special session, but it lacked enough support in the House State Affairs Committee to warrant a hearing. Nonetheless, proponents of the bill tried three times to pass amendments to other bills that could have halted payroll deduction. The first two amendment efforts were ruled non- germane, but a vote was taken on Rep. Bill Zedler’s amendment to require a study commission to look into the impact of providing payroll dues deduction for educators. The Zedler amendment was defeated on a bipartisan 7. SB3 and HB2. 53, ESA and Tax Credit Scholarship voucher bills defeated in the House. SB3 passed the Senate early in the special session, but it lacked support in the House, where votes in the regular session indicated a super majority opposed vouchers. TSTA and our Coalition for Public Schools allies have now defeated every voucher proposal in the past 2. Gutted HB2. 1 school finance bill approved and sent to the governor. After the Senate refused to provide significant funds for public education, a very disappointed House approved the Senate version of HB2. The House version of House Bill 2. The House- passed TRS Care bill appropriated $2. TRS Care. The total House appropriation for HB2. HB2. 1 was $2. 0. The final version of HB2. TRS Care funding. A majority of school districts would get no additional funding from the Senate version of HB2. For the first time, the state provided $6. Bathroom bill” dies in the House. The discriminatory and economically threatening “bathroom bill” also died in the House as a result of vigorous opposition from educators, civil rights activists, law enforcement officials, and major Texas CEOs who saw the bill as a dangerously misguided and brazenly political appeal to address a problem that does not exist. Abbott’s, Patrick’s most harmful missed opportunity TSTA President Noel Candelaria issued the following statement regarding the end of the special session. The singular failure of the recent special session was Governor Abbott’s and Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick’s refusal to support the effort by Texas House leaders to address the woefully inadequate level of state funding for our local public schools. Abbott and Patrick like to talk about property tax relief, but their failure to provide additional state funding for public schools is responsible for property tax increases in community after community across our great state. When the late Mark White was governor, the state share of education funding was 6. Just a decade ago, the state share was nearly 5. Today, it is 3. 8 percent and falling faster than the president’s poll numbers. Local property taxpayers are forced to make up the difference, while teachers have to spend hundreds of dollars out- of- pocket to provide supplies for their classrooms. The House passed a solid plan to provide an additional $1. Dan Patrick’s Senate said no. Our children deserve better. Educators deserve better. Local taxpayers deserve better. But Abbott and Patrick turned their backs on them. They also are out of step with most Texas voters. Recent polling by TSTA shows that most Texas voters believe the state should increase school funding. Seventy- nine percent believe the state “should provide additional funds for schools to provide relief for rising property taxes,” and by a 5. Republican primary voters support “using some of the Rainy Day Fund for public schools.”Instead, the governor and the lieutenant governor peddled discrimination and threatened our economy with the failed bathroom bill and dangled the false promise of property tax “relief” with Senate Bill 1. SB1 was not and is not a property tax cut. Neither the Senate version nor the House version of SB1 would have taken a dime off anyone’s property tax bill. Sadly, Abbott and Patrick deliberately missed their opportunity to provide real property tax relief to Texans by refusing to support the House’s school finance bill. As Speaker Straus correctly pointed out, you can’t reduce local property taxes without addressing school finance. More importantly, we cannot prepare our children for a prosperous future unless other state leaders join the effort to provide every child the opportunity to study and learn in a great public school. August 1. 6, 2. 01. TRS Care. During the special session, the legislature appropriated $2. TRS Care to reduce the impact of rising health care costs on retired teachers. Here are the details. August 1. 5, 2. 01. Accountability Ratings. TEA released the 2. To see how your district and campus rated, read more. TSTA Special Session Update—August 1. The special session updates focus on major education bills coming up for votes. Act on Action Alerts now before special session ends. When you use Action Alert to send an email to your legislator’s office it does make a difference. Please check your email and your voice mails to contact your legislators in a timely manner. You made a difference: House defeats attempt to have school finance commission address payroll dues deduction. Yesterday afternoon, Rep. Bill Zedler filed an amendment to Senate Bill 1. House speaker. Zedler’s amendment would have required the commission to study the financial impact of payroll dues deduction. Unlike two previous attempts to bring a payroll deduction amendment to the floor on other legislation, Zedler’s amendment was considered germane and came up for a floor vote. Although a study commission would not have eliminated payroll deduction now, two- thirds of this commission would be appointed by Governor Abbott and Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick, both of whom favor elimination of payroll deduction for public employees. The Zedler amendment was the first time the full House had voted on payroll deduction and it was defeated on a bipartisan 7. Two key Republican committee chairs strongly opposed the amendment, along with House Democratic leaders. A number of members were absent or in end- of- session negotiations when the vote was taken and we believe we would have had at least 9. The outcome of this vote was the result of efforts that date back to the 2. Unity Table coalition, support from other education organizations, polling and messaging that was shared with the House leadership, and hundreds of meetings with individual legislators that prepared them to make winning arguments during floor debate. Senate approves an inadequately funded version of HB2. TRS Care. We’re down to the final two days of the special session and a new version of HB2. Senate last night. The Senate- passed version provides only $3. TRS Care health insurance program for retired teachers. The original version of HB2. House provided $1. HB2. 0, provided $2. TRS Care. Now a conference committee will try to hash out the differences. The House version of House Bill 2. The House- passed TRS Care bill appropriated $2. TRS Care. The total House appropriation for HB2. HB2. 1 was $2. 0. The Senate version of HB2. TRS Care funding. A majority of school districts would get no additional funding from the Senate version of HB2. For TRS Care, the $2. 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